{"id":4433,"date":"2017-03-13T22:28:10","date_gmt":"2017-03-13T21:28:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zavnews.net\/?p=4433"},"modified":"2017-03-13T22:32:53","modified_gmt":"2017-03-13T21:32:53","slug":"ce-novi-put-svile-promijeniti-ekonomsku-geopoliticku-mapu-svijeta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zavnews.net\/index.php\/2017\/03\/13\/ce-novi-put-svile-promijeniti-ekonomsku-geopoliticku-mapu-svijeta\/","title":{"rendered":"Kako \u0107e Novi put svile promijeniti ekonomsku i geopoliti\u010dku mapu svijeta"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Put svile \u010duvena je kovanica koja ozna\u010dava mre\u017eu puteva kojom su stolje\u0107ima prije Marca Pola i Renesanse, evropska i bliskoisto\u010dna carstva razmjenjivala trgova\u010dka dobra i tehnolo\u0161ke inovacije sa Kinom. Dvojica autora za Dane pi\u0161u o dijelu Novog pojasa svile koji prolazi kroz Pakistan i geopoliti\u010dkim i ekonomskim promjenama koji \u0107e izlazak Kineza na luku Gwadar u Indijskom okeanu donijeti po cijeli svijet.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gwadar je lu\u010dki gradi\u0107 smje\u0161ten u pakistanskoj pokrajini Balu\u010distan. Udaljen je od glavnog grada Kara\u010dija oko 550 kilometara, a samo 120 kilometara od granice sa Iranom.<\/p>\n

Danas kao jo\u0161 prete\u017eno ribarski gradi\u0107 broji tek stotinu hiljada stanovnika – \u0161to je za ogromni Pakistan zaista sitnica. Ipak, vjetar promjena za Gwadar (\u010diji naziv fakti\u010dki zna\u010di Vrata vjetra<\/em>) po\u010dinje puhati u XXI stolje\u0107u\u00a0 i vezan je za dva nezavisna doga\u0111aja. Prvi je uspon Nawaza Sharifa kao vi\u0161estrukog i aktuelnog premijera Pakistana, a drugi je dolazak Xi Jinpinga na mjesto predsjednika Narodne Republike Kine. I premijer i predsjednik su ulo\u017eili napore u dalje otvaranje svojih dr\u017eava ka svijetu naro\u010dito ka ekonomskoj saradnji, i naro\u010dito saradnji izme\u0111u ove dvije \u2013 \u0161to se nikad ne smije smetnuti s uma – nuklearne sile.<\/p>\n

Kineski san<\/strong><\/p>\n

Reforme od osamdesetih godina pro\u0161log vijeka do dana\u0161njih dana i predsjednikovanja Xi Jinpinga, i\u0161le su postepeno, korak po korak, i u tome tako\u0111er treba tra\u017eiti kineske specifi\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n

Kineski san<\/em> je sintagma ili kovanica koju je predsjednik Xi Jinping prvi put upotrijebio 2013. godine, kako bi opisao proces podmla\u0111ivanja i obnove kineske nacije, vezan za Dva stoljetnja cilja<\/em>, koja podrazumijevaju da \u0107e svi stanovnici NR Kine na stotu godi\u0161njicu od osnutka KP Kine \u017eivjeti u umjerenom bogatstvu, dok \u0107e 2049., na stotu godi\u0161njicu od uspostave Narodne republike Kine, svi stanovnici \u017eivjeti u bogatstvu.<\/p>\n

Novi put svile<\/em> jedan je od najsna\u017enijih alata za ostvarivanje Kineskog sna<\/em>. Rije\u010d je o inicijativi koju je pokrenula NR Kina iza kojeg se krije golemi program infrastrukturnih ulaganja. Nove autoceste, brze \u017eeljeznice koje bi povezale istok Azije sa zapadnom Evropom, izgradnja morskih i zra\u010dnih luka, izgradnja energetskih objekata i komunikacijske infrastrukture, povezale bi dva kraja euroazijskog kontinenta i to kopneno (\u201eJedan pojas\u201c) i pomorski (\u201eJedan put\u201c).<\/p>\n

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Kina, centralna Azija, Rusija, Afrika, Europa, Perzijski zaljev, Mediteransko more preko Centralne Azije i Indijskog okeana, sve su to dijelovi planete koji se nalaze za Novom putu svile<\/em>, i sa kojima NR Kina \u017eeli razviti koncept win-win saradnje kroz zajednicu zajedni\u010dke sudbine. Kina je spremna da ula\u017ee, nude kredite i garancijske fondove, a ukupna ulaganja procjenjuju se na bilione dolara. Za po\u010detak, Kina je za me\u0111unarodna ulaganja osnovala novi fond vrijedan 40 milijardi dolara.<\/strong><\/p>\n

More i kopno<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zemlje du\u017e \u201ePojasa\u201c i \u201ePuta\u201c imaju vlastite prednosti u resursima, a njihove privrede su me\u0111usobno komplementarne. One bi trebale promicati\u00a0 koordinaciju politika, olak\u0161avanje povezivosti, neometanu trgovinu, finansijsku integraciju i me\u0111uljudsku povezanost kao pet zajedni\u010dkih velikih ciljeva. Tu dolazimo do saradnje NR Kine i IR Pakistana.<\/p>\n

Vlasti Pakistana dale su Kini luku Gwadar na 40 godina besplatnog kori\u0161tenja. Uvjet je da nakon isteka tog roka NR Kina vrati luku Pakistanu. Kina tako\u0111er gradi putnu mre\u017eu od luke Gwadar kroz Pakistan do kineskih teritorija u sklopu Kinesko-pakistanskog ekonomskog koridora (CPEC), paketa infrastrukturnih projekata ukupne vrijednosti 54 milijarde ameri\u010dkih dolara (USD). Vrijednost predvi\u0111ene izgradnje transportne infrastrukture\u00a0 u okviru CPEC-a je oko 11 milijardi USD. NR Kina \u0107e graditi autoputeve i brze \u017eeljeznice koji \u0107e povezivati kako gradove i podru\u010dja u Pakistanu, tako i njih sa Kinom preko Autonomne Regije Xinjang Uyghur, u kojoj, treba i to napomenuti, gotovo pola populacije ili preko deset miliona ljudi \u010dine muslimanski narod Ujguri.<\/p>\n

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Autoput Karakorum, koji je i svojevrsna turisti\u010dka atrakcija zato \u0161to prolazi kroz istoimenu planinu koja je dio masiva Himalaja, na nadmorskoj visini od preko 4.500 metara, dug oko 1.300 kilometara, bit \u0107e u potpunosti rekonstruiran.<\/p>\n

Strate\u0161ki ciljevi\u00a0 \u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

To \u0107e za posljedicu imati tektonske promjene u najmanje dva segmenta. Prvi je ekonomski, ta\u010dnije trgovinski. Morska ruta Novog puta svile <\/em>koja ide od Mediterana (uklju\u010duju\u0107i i na\u0161 Jadran!) kroz Suecki kanal ne bi vi\u0161e kru\u017eila oko Indije i dalje kroz Ju\u017eno kinesko more do kineskih lu\u010dkih gradova, nego bi doplovljavala do Gwadara gdje bi se roba tovarila na kamione i vagone te putem preko Kara\u010dija i\u0161la ka zapadu Kine (Uzgred, zapad Kine je kudikamo nerazvijeniji dio ove velike dr\u017eave.<\/p>\n

\"Slikovni<\/p>\n

Drugi aspekt koji je od globalnog zna\u010daja je vojni. Kao \u0161to nikada nije bila pomorska velesila, Kina tako nije bila ni vojna velesila na moru, na na\u010din kako su to bili Velika Britanija \u010dija je mornarica osvojila za Krunu \u010detvrtinu planete, ili, pak Sjedinjene Ameri\u010dke Dr\u017eave.<\/p>\n

Prilika decenije <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ima li sve ovo veze sa BiH? Moglo bi imati. Ne zaboravimo da je Pakistan veliki i iskreni prijatelj BiH, te da su i za vrijeme biv\u0161e zajedni\u010dke dr\u017eave kao i u poslijeratnom vremenu firme iz BiH bile prisutne u Pakistanu i ostavljale zavidne reference. Za vrijeme SFRJ to je bio \u201eEnergoinvest\u201c a nakon Daytona u Pakistanu je radio GP \u201ePut\u201c.<\/p>\n

\"SlikovniNa tom fonu je bila i posjeta pakistanskog premijera Nawaza Sharifa Sarajevu u decembru 2016. Tada su obje strane iskazale interes za produbljivanje politi\u010dkih, trgovinskih i ekonomskih veza kao i saradnje u oblasti odbrane. BiH i Pakistan su se obavezale da \u0107e organizirati posjete vojnih i trgovinskih delegacija.<\/p>\n

Pakistanci dolaze u aprilu na Mostarski poljoprivredni sajam na kojem \u0107e prisustvovati i visoka delegacija NR Kine. Dvije dr\u017eave su se obavezale da \u0107e raditi na liberalizaciji me\u0111usobnog viznog re\u017eima koja bi zna\u010dila ukidanje viza za nositelje diplomatskih i slu\u017ebenih paso\u0161a dvije zemlje. Nadalje, u 2017. trebali bi se odr\u017eati sastanci i pregovori u vezi sa Sporazumom o preferencijalnoj trgovini, Zajedni\u010dkoj ekonomskoj komisiji (JEC) i Zajedni\u010dkom trgovinskom odboru u 2017. godini. Sam premijer Sharif je naglasio mogu\u0107nost saradnje i to dr\u017eave prema dr\u017eavi (Government to Government \u2013 G to G), koja se mo\u017ee raditi bez tendera. Evo jednog konkretnog prijedloga.<\/p>\n

BiH bi trebala iskoristiti momentum posjete premijera Sharifa da razvije poslove u tom smjeru i da, za po\u010detak recimo, obezbijedi operativno mjesto u Gwadaru, gdje \u0107e se nalaziti biro i budu\u0107i biznis centar iz koga \u0107e te\u0107i inicijative prema svim projektima vezanim za CPEK. U nekoj perspektivi BiH bi mogla preuzeti na sebe i interese drugih zemalja biv\u0161e Jugoslavije ili (makar dijela) Balkana gdje bi imala ulogu agenta i posrednika.<\/p>\n

(Dr. Nedim Makarevi\u0107, ambasador BiH u Pakistanu i Mr. Sci. Faruk Bori\u0107, predsjednik Udru\u017eenja Bosansko-kineskog prijateljstva)<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Put svile \u010duvena je kovanica koja ozna\u010dava mre\u017eu puteva kojom su stolje\u0107ima prije Marca Pola i Renesanse, evropska i bliskoisto\u010dna carstva razmjenjivala trgova\u010dka dobra i tehnolo\u0161ke inovacije sa Kinom. Dvojica autora za Dane pi\u0161u o dijelu Novog pojasa svile koji…<\/p>\n

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